West Ham vs Derby

Recent form suggests West Ham are on a positive trajectory — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in their last 5. Their attacking output stands at 12 goals in 5 matches.

For Derby, the picture is quite different. Derby head into this fixture low on confidence after collecting 4 points from a possible 15 in their last 5. With 6 goals from 5 matches, their attack has been somewhat inconsistent, while defensively they have conceded more than they would like (1.8 per game). Looking at the head-to-head record, the last 3 meetings have produced 2 West Ham wins, 1 Derby wins and 0 draws. These meetings have tended to produce plenty of goals, averaging 3.0 goals per match.

The statistics point towards an open game here. Both teams have been involved in matches with plenty of goalmouth action recently, and the tactical setup suggests a similar pattern could emerge. As the stronger side on paper, West Ham will want to dictate proceedings. However, Derby will be well aware of the threat they pose and may look to frustrate and hit on the break.

This is a closely contested fixture, with the model suggesting a draw is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 2-2 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 45%. Kick-off in the Championship awaits.