HomeBundesligaHamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

BundesligaSunday, 6 September 202613:30 UTCVolksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger SVHamburger SV(H)
vs
(A)FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Match Prediction

We say:

HAM 10 FSV

Betting Tip

Hamburger SV are favoured based on recent form.

Win Probability

63%
24%
13%
HAM 63%Draw 24%13% FSV
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Match Preview

Hamburger SV head into this fixture in decent shape after collecting 7 points from a possible 15 in their last 5. With 8 goals in their last 5, their attack has been a real threat, while defensively they have conceded relatively few (1.4 per game). Defensively, they have had mixed results, keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 5.

On the other side, FSV Mainz 05 have had a contrasting run of results. FSV Mainz 05 come into this on the back of a mixed run of form, having taken 0 points from their last 0 matches. History between these two shows 3 home wins, 0 away wins and 3 draws from 6 meetings. Goals have been at a reasonable level, with an average of 2.5 per game.

Hamburger SV have been the more prolific side in front of goal recently, but FSV Mainz 05 boast the stronger defensive record. The contrasting styles could make for a fascinating tactical battle. Hamburger SV will be expected to take the initiative, but FSV Mainz 05 have shown they can be dangerous on the counter. The dynamic between attack and defence will shape the narrative.

This is a closely contested fixture, with the model suggesting a draw is the most likely outcome. The predicted scoreline of 1-0 reflects the evenly matched nature of the contest. Confidence in this prediction stands at 58%. Kick-off in the Bundesliga awaits.

Hamburger SV Key Points

  • Home advantage at familiar venue
  • Strong attacking transitions
  • Set-piece efficiency

FSV Mainz 05 Key Points

  • Compact defensive structure
  • Counter-attacking speed
  • Midfield press resistance

Team News

Projected Lineups

Hamburger SVHamburger SVFormation: 4-3-3Predicted
12
S. TangvikGK
43
S. NandjaDEF
33
S. BornauwDEF
3
J. AgyekumDEF
28
M. MuheimDEF
24
N. CapaldoMID
18
B. JattaMID
21
N. RembergMID
27
P. DakaFWD
5
M. AdelineFWD
11
A. GrønbækFWD

Predicted lineup — based on recent form, not yet confirmed.

Substitutes
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes(GK)23 J. Torunarigha(DEF)37 L. Lemke(MID)6 A. S. Lokonga(MID)19 O. Stange(MID)22 Kofi Jeremy Amoako(MID)8 Daniel Elfadli(MID)
FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05Formation: 4-3-3Predicted
23
S. BeckerFWD
9
P. TietzFWD
2
P. MweneFWD
19
A. CaciMID
7
Lee Jae-SungMID
10
N. AmiriMID
21
D. da CostaDEF
3
F. GruberDEF
31
D. KohrDEF
6
K. SanoDEF
27
R. ZentnerGK

Predicted lineup — based on recent form, not yet confirmed.

Substitutes
No substitutes listed

Subject to last-minute changes


Head-to-Head

1 Hamburger SV wins3 draws2 FSV Mainz 05 wins
DateCompetitionHomeScoreAway
2026-02-20BundesligaFSV Mainz 051 - 1Hamburger SV
2025-10-05BundesligaHamburger SV4 - 0FSV Mainz 05
2018-03-03BundesligaHamburger SV0 - 0FSV Mainz 05
2017-10-14BundesligaFSV Mainz 053 - 2Hamburger SV
2017-05-07BundesligaHamburger SV0 - 0FSV Mainz 05
2016-12-17BundesligaFSV Mainz 053 - 1Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV — Last 5 Matches

LDWWL
Everton1-2
Friendlies Clubs
Lille2-2
Friendlies Clubs
Toulouse2-1
Friendlies Clubs
Verl3-0
DFB Pokal
Borussia Dortmund0-2
Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 — Last 5 Matches

Hamburger SV — Next 5 Matches

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05Sun 6 Sept
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SVSun 13 Sept
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC KölnSat 19 Sept
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SVSat 10 Oct
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB StuttgartSat 17 Oct
Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 — Next 5 Matches

Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05Sun 6 Sept
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht FrankfurtSat 12 Sept
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05Sat 19 Sept
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer LeverkusenSat 10 Oct
Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05Sat 17 Oct
Bundesliga

Match Odds

HomeDrawAway
2.103.403.80

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